Ziwen Liu’s course blog for the MCDM


Indians do not favor the mobile net?!
February 25, 2010, 4:19 pm
Filed under: assignement, digital economic, Mobile Technology&Communication

In the mobile communication class I take in this quarter, we often talk about those cool and powerful mobile applications we have today. However, all these enthusiasm are based on these important hypothesis that we love mobile technology, we always ask for more from our mobile phones and most importantly, we are able and love to pay for expensive handsets and services fee.
However, this is aparently not the case in India.
“India’s state-owned BSNL, which the government allowed to launch 3G a year ago, now offer services in 300 cities, has just 700,000 customers, and has cut tarrifs at least twice.”, says Mehul Srivastava, the senior journalist in Business Week.
This is really bad for the operator considering that they had spent billions of dollars to bid on 3G spectrum and to build the nation wide network.
what even worse is that Indians not only do not appreciate 3G services, they simply don’t like the idea of “mobile net”. According to the Internet&Mobile Association of India, Of Indian’s 530 million-plus mobile subscribers, only 2 million regularly use the mobile Net, mostly to download pictures of cricket players and Bollywood stars.



Book Review On Groundswell by Charlene Li&Josh Bernoff
November 23, 2009, 7:03 pm
Filed under: book review, digital economic

About the author:
Charlene Li is an influential thought leader and guide on emerging technologies, with a specific focus on social technologies, interactive media, and marketing. She is the co-author of the business best-seller, Groundswell: Winning In A World Transformed By Social Technologies, published by Harvard Business Press in May 2008. Named “One of the Most Influential Women in Technology” by Fast Company magazine, Charlene is the founder of Altimeter Group which provides speaking and consulting services to organizations looking to understand and thrive in a new economy driven by social media tools and techniques.

Reflection:
Before I read this book, I was confident that I know what social media is because I have been using them ever since these social technologies emerge in China. Also, I believed that all these social technologies are just entertaining tools which do not have many business implications or usages. So, when my instructor told me to read this book which focus on social technologies, I thought:” well, let’s just see what something new or insights the author will provide us.”

After reading this book, I realized that I was well proved to be wrong in many ways because I could never have imagined that social media is such a broad sense which has implications in many ways of our life and definitely not just entertaining tools.

Basically, the author divided this book into three parts:

In the first part, the author focus on explaining the idea of groundswell, what kind of challenges and opportunities that groundswell presents to companies and why and how to develop groundswell thinking by taking advantage of the social technographics profile. Also, the other important message raised in this part is that it’fundamental to “concentrate on the relationships, not the technologies.”

In the second part, the author outlines five principles that companies should pursue in order to tap into the groundswell:
1 Listening
2 Talking
3 Energizing
4 Supporting
5 Embracing
To make these objectives seem more relevant to our daily business practice, I transform them into our business strategies: listening to the groundswell means researching and focusing on the conversation happening on the groundswell on your companies. Talking to the groundswell means participating in the conversation and asking for your consumers’ concerns and opinions on your companies or products. Energizing the groundswell means energizing your consumers or audience to be more active in the groundswell – to be able to provide more feedbacks, generate more meaningful conversation and eventually develop a more strong connection with your companies. Supporting the groundswell means providing more opportunities, channels and information in the groundswell to let them thrive. Embracing the groundswell means trusting and counting on the groundswell to get yours companies developed and thrived in this environment
The second part also goes into more detail as to how to leverage technologies to achieve these strategies. There are detailed case studies, and in some cases even some rough numbers outlining the ROI of the activity. The list of companies and case studies are impressive and help legitimize the movement. Not all of the stories are straight-forward ’success stories’, but each shows to highlight how an individuals’ vision and dedication made a difference.
In the last part, again, the author emphasize the business importance for companies to embrace groundswell to engage with their consumers. Also, the author outlines two main shifts of companies to in order to embrace groundswell: the first one is to ready shift controls.The author explains that a major consideration, and one that organizations are not always prepared for, is the notion of giving up control. However,
In the groundswell environment, people are powerful and they are in control of everything – your brand is not what you say what it is, people say what it is. So, I see this is an essential step to truly leverage the power of the Groundswell, but requires a fundamental change throughout the organization. The other one is to get ready to leverage the tools of the groundswell inside the company itself. I’ve seen many ceo or employees opening their blogs, facebook accounts and searching information in google.
However, it is simply not enough to only have several accounts. What is really important, as the author indicates, is that company’s leadership should fully recognize the significance of such relationships in the groundswell environment, and everyone within organization embrace this new way of doing business. To give a close to the book, the author paints a picture of what is the future of groundswell. And again, the focus is not on specific technologies or tools, but rather on how relationships are evolving and how to be prepared for them.

Wrap-up:
The author did a good job by giving us an amazing tour to the world of Groundswell. Her interpretation of Groundswell’s implications are also precise as well as far-sighted. My ending thought is that Groundswell is beautiful and it is time for giant companies to shift their power back to their consumers.Why? We have been hearing entrepreneurs working in giant multinational talking about making companies powerful and bigger. However, during the financial meltdown, we also have been witnessing those giants like AIG, GM bankcrupting in short time, which is pretty impossible for us to believe in just a few years ago. The reason behind these unusual phenomenon is that the economy is changing, transforming in a speed they can not catch up with. Under the industrial economic system, giants always win partly because of their rich capital, scale, and standardization which makes them quickly obtain the largest market shares. But what is even more important as I believe is that choices are scarcity at that time and therefore customers could only rely on a few companies to create whatever they want. However, this is not the case anymore. Now, we are entering the age of Groundswell and transforming into a new econmic model named infor-economy. Under such economic system, with all these cheap tools, technologies and rich channels available, choices are created quickly, and choices are abundancy. So, gaint companies offering limited choices today will fail or not fast enough to meet their consumers’ ever changing needs and start to lose their markets shares and revenues. But, for those individuals or SMES(small and medium enterprises) which sucessfully survive in the meltdown, they are young,dynamic and agile. They’d love to embrace groundswell technologies(cheap, ease of use,functional) and they are fast enough to change their focus and create choices and customization for their customers. Also, they are small and have little to lose compared to giants. If they win, they will hold on to their “groundswell thinking” essence. If they lose, then what the hell, they lose little and at least they are die trying.



Book Review on The Wealth of Networks by YOCHAI BENKLER
November 17, 2009, 1:18 am
Filed under: book review, digital economic

I’ve just finished reading this incredible book called The Wealth of Networks by Yochai Benkler. The subtitle given is “How social production transforms markets and freedom”. So, as I see, the title is obviously a reference to Adam Smith’s The Wealth of Nation, which is like the bible of modern free-marketism.
Benkler focus on explaining the emergence of the networked information economy in the first part, which is also frequently referred as post-industrial economy or information economy. As Benkler indicates, the industrial information economy of the mid-nineteenth and twentieth centuries is now being displaced by the “networked information economy”, followed by decentralized individual action carried out through distributed, nonmarket means. And there are two big shifts accounting for this transformation:
Production has shifted from the physical goods (food, cloth, vehicles and etc.) to information goods and services (movies, software, musics and etc.)
Communication tools have shifted from a centralized, mass-market approach (Newspaper) to a much more distributed and interconnected approach (the Internet).
The first shift means that this new form of production will play a central, rather than peripheral role today. The second shift indicates that markets are being reshaped, while at the same time these innovative and cheap communication tools enables new opportunities for human-being to enhance individual freedom, cultural diversity, political discourse, and justice.
Benkler also believes that non-proprietary strategies have always been more effective in the production of information goods than in the production of physical goods. Now these activites are even cheaper, so theoretically, these strategies should play an even bigger role. And indeed they have. Google searches return the result of the coordinated efforts of uncoordinated actions of a wide and diverse group of individuals. Furthermore, there are numerous examples of effective, large-scale, cooperative efforts to create information and culture. This is introduced by Benkler as peer-production and is typified by the open-source software movement. Other examples include Wikipedia and SETI@Home. So, as I see the purpose of the book is to provide a sophisticated framework that will allow us to understand peer-production and its economic, political, cultural and justice implication for what it really is: a new mode of production, one that is powerful, efficient, and sustainable.

As most of us will agree that how we make, get, share, and receive information are central to individual and political freedom. In the second part of the book, Benkler examines how the networked information economy effects four dominant commitments of democratic societies: individual freedom, a participatory political system, a critical culture, and social justice. Often these commitments are contradictory and therefore must be balanced against one another. For example, a commitment to social justice that takes the form of a progressive tax necessarily limits individuals’ freedom to spend their income as they see fit.

In the last part, Benkler restates that we are coming into the new era of the networked information society, but no incumbents or historical lessons will necessarily lead us to an open, diverse, and liberal enviornment. Like economic shifts of the past, this shift will lead to redistributions of money and power. The incumbents–Hollywood, the recording industry, broadcasters, and printing industry, seem to be the losers in this reallocation. Also, these incumbents are not only resisting technological and legal changes that threaten they but also taking pro-active measures to ensure that the techno-legal landscape is favorable to their old modes of production.

I see this book as a comprehensive social theory of the Internet and the networked information economy. And this book reminds me of the other book I’ve read, Free. I found both books inspiring because both authors obvious agree on a situation that there is a transformation going on between industrial information economy and networked information economy, and cheap communication methods and tools are the driving factors. However, what I do not understand is Benkler’s rather negative tone of traditional media industries. My perspective is that even though Benkler advocates diversity through out his book, he seems to characterizes networked information economy as the only viable economy model.
I’d agree to an extend that certain forms of traditional media are probably dying in developed nations, but absolutely not the whole economy model. For example the newspaper industry will not die, only its printed form. The major newspapers are and will continue to be a primary source of information for many people. The same goes to other forms of media. Did the invention of the printing press kill off the spoken word? No. It just meant that hand-lettered books were no longer necessary, and it gave more people access to literature and information.Did the invention of radio kill off the written word? Again, no. Did television indeed kill the radio star? No, but it might have forced some radio stars to adapt to become more television-friendly. And it also created a whole knew breed of radio stars. Did the internet kill television? Again, no. If you’re coming from developing countries, you will know that a lot of people are still using a cheap television set and watching television shows because cheap computation and broadband is still just a joke to them. Even for myself, I am a big fan of sports, I still prefer watching NBA on my HD TV screen rather than on my computer. And also, I’d rather go to the theatre to enjoy latest blockbuster rather than downing and watching it on my computer. It is just different user experience. So, my whole point is that while networked information economy is certainly rising up as a new and dynamic economy model, it is not reasonable to deny the necessaties of traditional one. The right attitudes should be to admit diversities of benefits that both models give us, and figure out ways to keep them supplementary to each other.

All in all, Benkler is incredible at pointing out how patterns of information, knowledge, and cultural production are changing—and shows that the way information and knowledge are made available can either limit or enlarge the ways people can create and express themselves. However, I believe that he should be more objective in terms of comparing networked information economy with traditional information economy.



Class reflection
October 22, 2009, 7:42 pm
Filed under: digital economic

The most interesting thing I learned from the class is the idea of return on attention(ROA). The guest speaker explained this idea that attention is naturally scarce: each of us only has 24 hours in a day, and when we are awake, we start to think and our mind start to process information. In other words, anything which is worth to think about earns most of our attention. Even though some technolgies can increase the threshold for individual’s attention amount, it remains limited and and therefore scarce. What’s changed is that we have more and more options competing for our attention. We face increasing abundance both in the production and distribution of goods and information about those goods. And as with any goods, with increasing relative scarcity comes increasing value. Attention Scarcity has been (for a long time) and continues to reshape deeply nearly every aspect of our environment.
ROA’s implications for businesses:
Now, for most executives, this can seem like a pretty abstract discussion without any clear relevance for near-term actions. That impression would be a mistake. The attention economy is surfacing around us today – it is not some distant future. As with most economic trends, those who spot them and act on them early are most likely to create significant value. Here are some early action which might bring companies some sort of advantages in their business:
1 Master the management techniques required to increase return on attention, not only for customers but for employees and business partners as well
2 Create mechanisms to help customers and employees attract the attention they need to become more successful in their endeavors, especially in terms of their talent development.



(Leading discussion/2) Andersen’s “Free” models to deal with privacy – Reflection on Digital Dilemma
October 19, 2009, 11:25 pm
Filed under: abstract, digital economic, Leading discussion

Abstract:
The author put forward a serious problem at first that information infrastructure which is made up of combination of new technologies (Information in digital form, computer networks, and the Web) has the potential to demonish the careful balancing of public good and private interest that has emerged from the evolution of U.S. intellectual property law. The reason to this problem is simple that with digital technologies, it is very easy to make and distribute huge amount of copies of law-protected works effortlessly and cost-effectively. As a result, the author calls for rethinking about many of our premises and practices. To address this problem, the author presents a combination of solutions, which are technological solutions, innovative business model, multiple views, and adjustment of intellectual property laws. The author also realized that none of these solutions can wipe out the problem completely, but each one of them can reduce the problem sharply. As a conclusion, the author indicates that the society as a whole will ajust to the reality and carry on in familar ways. But accommodation without proper solutions is not enough.

The reason I picked up this article is that infriging copy rights (piracy) seems to be fairly popular after all those free tools and technologies made available under the freeconomics model. However, it is not reasonable to blame the free system partly because free is a new trend in the 21st century – it brings about progress and inevitably weakness and new challenges and it is irreversible. So, under the new system, it requires us to have new understandings and therefore new measures on these challenges. The author does a great job in analysing the situation and put forward unique and innovative methods to deal with these problems. One of the solutions fits tightly with Chris Andersen’s free model – give away the product,make money from an auxiliary service;give away the product, sell upgrades;give away one piece that promotes another; offer extreme customization;offer a mass-market product at a low price and high volume, along with frequent improvements. The central idea here is, according to the author, to keep the price extremely low to reduce the intention and pressure for piracy.
I think this is a classic example of using free in a creative way to deal with piracy issues.



Leveraging free (other than ads) – book review(1) on Free
October 19, 2009, 10:18 pm
Filed under: book review, digital economic

Before I opened the book, “free”, I think free is a meaningless word because I was assuming that nothing in this world is really free. In other words, Free in most circumstance is a marketing gimmick and method, at best. So, I was wondering what creative perspectives on free the author can give us? Is it going to be another boring marketing book repeating facts most people already know?
I was wrong, mostly. The author, Chris Andersen, clearly has a unique understanding on the issue of free. To explain free thoroughly, Andersen gave multiple meanings to free that free was mainly a marketing gimmick, which was based on the economics of atoms, shifting money from one to another rather than the other business model before the 21st century; and free has a whole new definition in the 21st century that it represents a entirely new economic model based on the economics of bits.

In the first session, Andersen introduces origins of free, and what does free imply in both atoms and bits economics. Also, Andersen gives us four models of free which are common in our daily life.

In the second session, Andersen further explains why free is no longer a marketing gimmick in 21st century. One fundamental reason I found in this book is because of the Moore’s law that a unit of computer processing power halves in price every two years, the price of bandwidth and storage is dropping even faster. Also, Andersen explains how does free represent a new business model which gives corporations chanllenges as well as opportunities. Examples used in this book are Microsoft’s reactions on new entrant Corporation based on free business model and Google’s sucessful free strategies.

As I see, Andersen’s perspectives on free are overall, persuasive and credible. However, he should be more clear in terms of leveraging and quantifying free, other than selling ads which is at the cost of user experience. Leveraging and quantifying free are not easy at all, especially for small to medium scale corporation. I’ve seen many corporations or individuals sucessfully taking advantage of free but still failing to make direct money from it. Companies in the dot-com business, such as facebook and Myspace, they have been sucessfully developing a great cyber community with lots of features, applications and users. However, these great things do not turned out in revenues or cashes. So, they are giving away all the resources they have for reputation which will not directly transfer into cash. So, what should they do?
As I see, there is no business model served as panacea in this case. The best way to do this is to learn from peers. For instance, Tencent is a very sucessful media company in China, not only in terms of their great reputation but also their capability to turn reputation into cash.
The secret lies in micro-transactions. Tencent operates the largest instant-messaging network in China and is one of the largest overall community. Tencent, which includes the QQ IM service, QQ Show (an avatar social network modeled after Korea’s Cyworld), and QQ Pet (virtual pet)—is the No. 21 Web property in the world and the second largest in China after Baidu (the two keep switching the No. 1 and No . 2 spots).
A big reason for the difference in this profitability is that advertising makes up only 13 percent of its revenues. The rest are in micro-transactions for digital goods, online games, and other services that Web surfers gladly pay for, as well as mobile services. Here is how Tencent’s revenues break down:
Internet services (digital goods, games, micro-transactions): $344 million (66%)
Mobile services: $110 million (21%)
Online ads: $67 million (13%)
Total Revenues: $523 million

All in all, free is definitely a new business model, other than solely marketing method, in the 21st century. However, with all these free tools, we still need to figure out sucessful ways to turn all these free “stuff” into real cash because free doesn’t automatically do that for you.

Another issue which jumps into my head when talking about “free” is piracy.Since with all these free tools, ideas and access are made available, people will inevitably take advantage of “free” to pirate, distribute illegal copies to make profits. With such huge price advantage, (for instance, windows 7 was already available a few weeks ago in Mainland China before it is officially released, and of course, the ghost version, a nick name for pirated version. And the ghost version costs only 20 yuan, or $2.93, each, a fraction of list prices of the official version, which are as high as $320.) these illegal actions are almost undefeatable. As Chris Andersen, introduces Bill Gates’ famous “pay now or pay later” strategy on the issue of software piracy in China. He quotes that “China is developing, if they are going to steal software, I’d rather they steal ours. If piracy software lowers the cost of computing, and accelerates the rate in which China adopts computing, and they adopt computers using our softwares,they will develop faster, and they will someday be able to pay for softwares, and they will be able to hook on our stuff. They will become paid customers.” Bill Gates’ comments are inspiring as well as foresight. However, as I see, there are two problems represented. First of all, it might not be a problem of if they are able to pay for these softwares, but rather if they are happy to pay for them. Certainly, under this heavily piracy enviornment, people who can afford paying official softwares might not eventually be the paid customers. Who is going to pay 2000 if you can get it for 20? On the other hand, even though the idea of obtaining the largest market share in China by taking advantages of piracy softwares is brilliant, there is little chance that people get used to free product will be glad to pay in future. Even if Microsoft pushes harder, they might simply abandon their softwares, and use other free open-source softwares. Or simply, developing their own cheaper one.
So, it seems to me that the piracy problem is tough and might not be alleviated in short-term.
Resources:

http://abovethecrowd.com/2009/03/09/how-to-monetize-a-social-network-myspace-and-facebook-should-follow-tencent/

http://digital.venturebeat.com/2009/03/19/the-worlds-most-lucrative-social-network-chinas-tencent-beats-1-billion-revenue-mark/



Class reflection (Week Two)
October 17, 2009, 10:20 pm
Filed under: assignement, digital economic

In this tuesday’s class, I was introduced some basic theories of micro-economics, which is the study of how people and institutions act in a society with limited resources. During the class, I kept thinking about one question that how do we apply these interesting economic thoeries, rules to the media economics, since according to Chris Anderson , the author of “long tail” and “free”, the “free” system fits and explains media industry better rathan than traditional economics system.
I think the secret relies on scale and the price, and these two factors are somehow intertwined. Because the cost of serving many people at the same time is little different than serving them seperately, it dramatically reduce the marginal cost of serving large scale of people, and eventually make the “free” system practical. However, this doesn’t necessarily imply that there is no threshold or cost of doing media business. On the contray, the cost of building infrastruture and obtaining certain licenses is still high, and it is the scale of this business model that make it viable.
Another surprising thing I’ve learned from the class is the moore’s law: for every 18 months, processing power doubles; every 12 months, storage doubles; every 9 months, bandwidth doubles. I think this is a very important principle for both producer end and consumer end. In other words, for the producer end, if you’re developing products and market to sell them in a rate slower than the Moore’s cycle, you’re expected to lose money; and if faster than that, you are establishing a leading position in your industry, and could be making a lot of money. In the consumer end, the Moore Law could be a theory which helps you save money and better allocates your scarce resources.



Class Reflection one – what to expect from the class
October 13, 2009, 5:16 pm
Filed under: digital economic

In Tuesday’s economic class, the instructor gave us a overview about what is digital media, and how the economic model based on digital media, which is often called info economic or post-industrial economic, differs from the traditional one.

On the other hand, I understand from the class that even though there are tons of excellent digital media corporations, but only few of them are sucessful in leveraging digital media. So, in the sense, it is fairly okay to asssume that digital media are widely adopted new technologies, but not beneficial tools. One possible explanation to this phenomenon is that the company or the individual in this age mistakenly or simply view digital commodities as other tangible commodities, and lack of the economic knowledge required to leverage digital media products.
The hypothesis above leads to my primary goal for the economic class:
1 Getting familiar with those new media tools is one thing, but knowing how to benefit or leverage them is definitely the other. So, the first question in my mind is that why there are so many companies that are sucessful in incorporating new media into their business practice but are still unable to leverage them. Also, compared to those companies sucessfully monetizing digital media, what is the major reason for the big gap between these companies’ abilities to monetize digital media? Is it because of their company sizes, think-tanks, resources, or other unknown reason?
Also, the most shared target for this class would be the secret of making money in the info-age.




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